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Red112
173134.2
17399.9
111465.3
Blue126
151931.1
33045.5
91022.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12087050100150200112126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
65.30.2
68.468.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
330
Unranked
45.51.8
43.144.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1731
Unranked
34.20.2
36.336.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1519
Unranked
31.11.8
28.730.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
Unranked
9.90.2
10.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
910
Unranked
22.71.8
19.220.9
Auto
Teleop
End