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Red130
4732.4
6829.6
49438.5
Blue74
124315.2
11124.3
205647.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9695608012014013074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
38.51.8
36.738.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
2056
Unranked
47.71.1
52.451.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47
Unranked
32.41.8
30.232.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
111
Unranked
24.31.1
27.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
68
Unranked
29.61.8
27.829.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1243
Unranked
15.21.1
16.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End