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Red50
164610.1
88817.5
17129.8
Blue110
173134.2
1632.9
217134.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54108015020050110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
Unranked
29.80.6
31.230.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
2171
Unranked
34.80.4
34.234.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
888
Unranked
17.50.6
18.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
1731
Unranked
34.20.4
33.834.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
Unranked
10.10.6
11.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.8
16
Unranked
32.90.4
33.333.8
Auto
Teleop
End