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Red70
259118.5
39730.5
152819.8
Blue20
17838.5
89413.4
4813.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68360501001507020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
30.50.3
28.428.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
48
Unranked
13.61.0
15.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1528
Unranked
19.80.3
17.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
894
Unranked
13.41.0
15.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2591
Unranked
18.50.3
18.118.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1783
Unranked
8.51.5
9.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End