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Red16
150420.8
213715.6
150616.3
Blue58
24719.7
233731.4
50318.2
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508201001502001658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
Unranked
20.81.9
23.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
2337
Unranked
31.41.0
33.332.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1506
Unranked
16.31.9
17.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
247
Unranked
19.71.0
19.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2137
Unranked
15.62.8
13.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
503
Unranked
18.21.0
25.224.2
Auto
Teleop
End