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Red0
10214.7
55512.0
61220.5
Blue34
36914.3
12378.1
37112.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60320204080100120034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
Unranked
20.52.8
23.620.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
369
Unranked
14.30.1
14.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
102
Unranked
14.72.8
17.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
371
Unranked
12.80.1
12.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
555
Unranked
12.02.8
14.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1237
Unranked
8.10.1
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End