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Red30
19296.7
164712.9
162615.7
Blue22
180715.5
20704.9
137012.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353301020304050603022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
Unranked
15.70.2
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1807
Unranked
15.50.6
15.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1647
Unranked
12.90.2
13.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1370
Unranked
12.20.6
12.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1929
Unranked
6.70.3
7.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2070
Unranked
4.90.6
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End