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Red6
25323.2
21755.7
25153.6
Blue4
16234.6
247010.3
25116.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152401020304050607064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#40
5.70.8
7.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2470
#46
10.31.5
5.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2515
#33
3.60.8
4.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2511
#21
6.81.5
8.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2532
#42
3.20.8
3.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1623
#52
4.61.5
8.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End