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Red30
25026.5
223914.4
25036.3
Blue0
25257.0
24887.2
25094.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2016010304050300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#26
14.40.9
8.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2488
#32
7.21.3
4.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2502
#23
6.50.9
5.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2525
#36
7.01.3
5.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2503
#19
6.30.9
5.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2509
#37
4.71.3
5.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End