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Red80
201620.0
135718.3
243012.8
Blue104
204113.8
205649.6
162538.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3611205010015020080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#21
20.01.7
18.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.7
49.60.1
50.850.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1357
#63
18.31.7
16.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
1625
#13
38.10.1
37.737.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2430
#61
12.81.7
11.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2041
#47
13.80.1
13.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End