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Red16
186811.2
235214.7
261412.7
Blue44
241510.0
221417.4
245514.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43410102030506070801644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#55
14.71.3
16.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2214
#53
17.40.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2614
#82
12.71.3
14.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2455
#41
14.30.1
14.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#48
11.21.3
12.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2415
#73
10.00.1
9.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End