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Red16
16167.2
164713.1
8697.2
Blue64
81618.9
16178.1
249512.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27290204060801001201664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#21
13.10.9
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
816
#2
18.92.9
9.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1616
#49
7.20.9
6.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
2495
#34
12.82.9
12.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
869
#42
7.20.9
5.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1617
#35
8.12.9
6.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End