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Qual 302008 New Jersey Regional
Red38
29312.9
180717.5
17487.0
Blue8
16895.6
18119.9
15634.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382306080388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#26
17.50.2
13.0→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
1811
#31
9.91.4
10.1→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
293
#19
12.90.2
15.9→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
1689
#11
5.61.4
6.9→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1748
#32
7.00.2
7.2→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
1563
#46
4.61.4
7.3→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—