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Red30
192312.1
249512.8
13709.5
Blue38
108914.4
259020.8
22857.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310204060803038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#34
12.80.3
14.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
20.80.5
12.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1923
#23
12.10.3
10.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
14.40.5
11.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1370
#43
9.50.3
9.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2285
#22
7.50.5
7.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End