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Red24
13709.5
21913.5
16895.6
Blue8
249512.8
16769.2
15473.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18280406080248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1370
#43
9.50.4
8.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2495
#34
12.81.6
14.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1689
#11
5.60.4
5.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1676
#44
9.21.6
6.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2191
#24
3.50.4
4.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1547
#56
3.51.6
6.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End