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Red40
142512.4
101119.7
20376.5
Blue46
213912.9
170311.1
203420.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36350102030405060704046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#21
19.70.2
18.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2034
#10
20.50.5
18.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1425
#30
12.40.2
12.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2139
#18
12.90.7
8.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2037
#24
6.50.3
5.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1703
#13
11.10.7
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End