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Red14
16319.8
26023.8
152710.5
Blue18
16619.7
24848.1
203210.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232804060801418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1527
#28
10.50.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2032
#19
10.20.5
9.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1631
#29
9.80.7
9.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1661
#25
9.70.7
8.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2602
#42
3.80.7
6.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2484
#34
8.10.7
8.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End