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Red50
123020.1
64014.0
22034.2
Blue36
42110.3
227410.9
252411.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3725060801001205036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1230
#16
20.10.7
19.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2524
#44
11.60.8
6.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
640
#11
14.01.2
9.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2274
#36
10.90.8
8.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2203
#64
4.21.2
6.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
421
#62
10.30.8
12.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End