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Red38
16981.9
16008.6
162614.7
Blue42
26816.4
16027.5
4124.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233204060801001203842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#54
14.70.8
13.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
41
#1
24.30.7
17.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1600
#43
8.61.2
7.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1602
#41
7.50.5
6.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1698
#61
1.91.2
2.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
2681
#42
6.40.9
6.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End