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Red20
23329.2
243617.1
238911.1
Blue62
216518.2
23729.9
47616.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940203050602062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.4
17.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
18.21.6
15.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2389
#28
11.11.5
11.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
476
#22
16.51.1
15.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2332
#24
9.21.4
10.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2372
#25
9.91.6
8.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End