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Red50
238812.5
47616.5
109821.7
Blue64
216518.2
180628.8
23549.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52543040607080905064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
22.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
28.80.2
28.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
#22
16.50.0
16.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
18.20.2
17.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2388
#17
12.50.0
13.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2354
#18
9.30.2
8.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End