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Red32
238812.5
109821.7
47616.5
Blue50
23549.3
180628.8
216518.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51553040607080903250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
22.121.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
28.80.1
28.428.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
#22
16.50.3
16.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
18.20.1
17.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2388
#17
12.50.4
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2354
#18
9.30.1
8.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End