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Red70
151128.1
31622.3
164012.3
Blue100
23725.9
137014.0
81624.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6361405070809010070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.1
28.028.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
237
#6
25.90.6
24.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#9
22.30.1
22.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
816
#7
24.10.6
23.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#18
12.30.1
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1370
#37
14.00.6
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End