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Red30
236711.6
13519.6
245611.5
Blue44
138820.8
6759.9
166221.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224101030506070803044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2367
#29
11.60.3
8.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
1662
#10
21.40.4
14.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2456
#15
11.50.4
9.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
20.80.3
17.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1351
#25
9.60.3
6.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
675
#22
9.90.3
7.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End