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Red30
255123.2
21353.7
207317.0
Blue36
212217.2
10727.4
215910.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2329010405060703036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
14.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
17.20.5
11.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2073
#18
17.00.5
10.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
10.40.4
8.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2135
#36
3.70.3
-0.5-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1072
#31
7.40.4
8.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End