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Red44
3625.6
156613.0
248514.9
Blue36
59713.6
26639.0
259910.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263201020405060704436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#21
14.91.2
13.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
597
#23
13.60.4
12.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1566
#20
13.01.2
10.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2599
#48
10.00.4
8.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
362
#25
5.61.2
3.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2663
#37
9.00.4
10.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End