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Red106
171729.2
204218.5
98740.2
Blue26
96830.3
12666.9
26227.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7441206010012014010626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
40.22.6
36.038.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
968
#2
30.31.4
27.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
29.22.6
19.321.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
2622
#41
7.71.4
10.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2042
#11
18.52.6
15.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
1266
#34
6.91.4
7.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End