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Red58
19011.8
214411.4
21418.9
Blue82
97211.6
203518.2
84617.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29450204060805882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#5
11.80.5
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
18.20.9
16.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2144
#34
11.40.6
10.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
846
#6
17.71.0
16.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2141
#19
8.90.5
8.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
972
#17
11.61.0
9.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End