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Red4
19220.2
202417.5
88.5
Blue20
247314.9
26438.6
128015.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47410206080100120420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#3
20.20.7
20.419.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1280
#11
15.90.4
16.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.50.9
17.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
14.90.5
15.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8
#28
8.50.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2643
#14
8.60.4
9.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End