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Red10
71611.1
1769.8
1258.0
Blue6
886.7
17511.0
409.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31430206080100120106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
11.11.9
11.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
175
Unranked
11.02.9
15.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
Unranked
9.81.9
10.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
40
Unranked
9.82.9
14.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
125
Unranked
8.01.9
10.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
88
Unranked
6.72.9
11.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End