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Red8
3488.5
5004.9
9994.1
Blue22
1818.1
12614.8
22810.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213606080100822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
8.51.3
8.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
126
Unranked
14.81.0
14.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
500
Unranked
4.91.3
6.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
228
Unranked
10.91.0
8.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
Unranked
4.11.3
8.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
181
Unranked
8.11.0
11.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End