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Red0
26641.9
25837.5
21575.5
Blue2
25829.4
44112.2
14805.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2225010304050607002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#23
7.51.6
7.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
441
#13
12.21.9
7.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2157
#24
5.51.9
6.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2582
#15
9.43.5
9.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2664
#46
1.94.0
1.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1480
#30
5.51.9
9.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End