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Red40
64713.8
23119.7
18173.5
Blue20
25974.8
20726.4
11825.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30350204060804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#16
19.70.8
13.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
118
#1
25.81.2
15.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
#7
13.80.8
10.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
2072
#38
6.41.2
11.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1817
#29
3.50.8
7.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2597
#40
4.81.8
4.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End