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Red28
177214.1
7049.8
147721.9
Blue6
25858.7
26137.7
6536.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422406080100120286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.0
11.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
2585
#25
8.72.6
8.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1772
#41
14.10.8
20.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2613
#19
7.71.6
7.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
704
#6
9.81.0
8.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
653
#37
6.91.7
11.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End