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Red50
177815.1
94812.6
25579.6
Blue26
21470.8
7537.3
4927.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30140204060805026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.4
12.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
492
#11
7.80.2
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#18
12.60.4
9.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
753
#19
7.30.2
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2557
#20
9.60.5
6.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
2147
#31
0.80.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End