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Red54
25579.6
177815.1
94812.6
Blue10
4927.8
21470.8
7537.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31140204060805410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.4
12.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
492
#11
7.80.1
7.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#18
12.60.5
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
753
#19
7.30.1
7.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2557
#20
9.60.5
6.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
2147
#31
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End