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Red6
110312.6
254511.9
17166.3
Blue24
14123.5
12686.8
7068.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732020406080100624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1103
#43
12.61.8
11.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
141
#4
23.50.6
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2545
#42
11.96.0
11.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
706
#23
8.10.6
11.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1716
#57
6.31.8
8.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1268
#58
6.80.6
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End