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Red20
130611.5
17327.1
216922.1
Blue4
815.9
9319.5
21296.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37330206080204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.4
13.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
93
#8
19.52.5
13.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1306
#12
11.51.4
9.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2129
#48
6.12.5
9.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1732
#55
7.11.4
13.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
81
#52
5.92.5
10.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End