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Red54
58521.4
153521.0
93128.6
Blue94
34328.9
198723.1
85720.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64592040801005494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#7
28.60.5
22.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
343
#17
28.91.7
27.228.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
585
#76
21.40.6
21.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
23.12.7
16.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1535
#34
21.00.5
19.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
857
#38
20.41.7
15.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End