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Red88
153829.4
4816.7
17626.5
Blue76
57322.1
60428.8
254320.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080901008876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#35Sur
29.41.1
25.626.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
604
#66
28.80.4
25.926.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#11
26.51.1
22.623.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
573
#21
22.10.4
21.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
#74
16.71.1
18.119.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2543
#63
20.60.4
19.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End