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Red52
155512.9
300917.2
133422.7
Blue101
198624.3
258727.8
43313.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5358010015020052101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#71
22.70.1
21.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
2587
#20
27.82.9
22.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3009
#72
17.20.1
16.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1986
#68
24.32.2
20.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
#56
12.90.1
14.814.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
433
#80
13.22.2
14.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End