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Red81
149217.3
301417.9
241310.4
Blue62
247813.0
219611.7
283716.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38350102030506070808162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.93.1
15.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2837
#23
16.62.1
14.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1492
#26
17.33.1
14.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
2478
#11
13.02.1
11.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2413
#22
10.43.1
7.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2196
#42
11.71.9
9.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End