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Qual 652009 Arizona Regional
Red71
301916.5
264713.0
284417.8
Blue42
212811.8
213412.6
24499.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432901020506070807142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2844
#17
17.82.2
15.6→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
2134
#28
12.60.8
11.8→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3019
#24
16.52.2
14.4→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
2128
#34
11.80.8
10.6→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2647
#38
13.02.2
10.8→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
2449
#41
9.10.8
8.3→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—