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Red58
265920.6
97325.1
20724.9
Blue56
59727.2
171728.6
29418.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7277405060901001101205856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
25.10.4
25.925.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1717
#12
28.60.5
29.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
207
#6
24.90.4
25.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
597
#2
27.20.3
27.827.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2659
#22
20.60.4
21.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
294
#42
18.00.6
19.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End