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Red70
33023.7
98017.2
172622.1
Blue52
242917.4
104717.3
113817.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66500204060801001207052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#8
23.70.2
24.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.10.2
22.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
980
#25
17.20.2
17.617.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1047
#17
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End