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Red78
17825.1
17720.7
22816.7
Blue59
190222.5
99913.8
278511.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6444020801001207859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#22
25.10.8
24.425.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1902
#41
22.50.6
20.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
#5
20.71.4
19.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
999
#43
13.81.0
15.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
228
#29
16.71.4
17.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2785
#53
11.61.0
10.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End