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Red76
12628.2
23012.7
17621.6
Blue42
166511.6
226518.2
140314.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045020801001207642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
28.20.9
26.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
2265
#52
18.20.2
19.219.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#12
21.60.9
20.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1403
#24
14.80.2
14.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
230
#10
12.70.9
11.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1665
#58
11.60.4
13.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End