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Qual 672009 Connecticut Regional
Red48
286215.4
19521.4
199117.5
Blue77
17720.7
107325.8
18117.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55622040801001204877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#42
21.40.7
21.4→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.4
1073
#7
25.80.8
23.6→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1991
#57
17.50.7
18.3→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
177
#5
20.71.3
21.0→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2862
#40
15.40.7
16.5→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
181
#45
17.50.8
16.6→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—