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Red24
166511.6
278511.6
50014.6
Blue52
159218.3
252312.8
112421.2
18%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3858020801002452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
500
#46
14.61.4
15.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1124
#25
21.20.3
21.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2785
#53
11.61.4
11.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
18.30.2
18.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1665
#58
11.61.4
13.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2523
#19
12.80.3
14.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End