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Red42
53817.4
116518.9
287725.1
Blue90
173122.5
150220.7
102423.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65622040801004290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#74
25.11.1
26.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1024
#41
23.61.4
22.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1165
#20
18.91.1
20.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1731
#42
22.51.4
21.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
538
#83
17.41.1
18.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1502
#17
20.71.4
19.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End